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Category Archives: US equities
Bearish Sentiment Rises to Highest Level Since March 2009
In mid-August we noted that investment advisers picked the wrong time to turn bullish as bullish sentiment rose sharply just before the S&P 500 began its next leg lower. While early August was the wrong time to turn bullish, will … Continue reading
Posted in EQUITIES, SENTIMENT INDIC, US equities
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RISK APPETITE REMAINS LOW
The State Street Investor Confidence Index is interesting in that it quantitatively measures institutional investors’ actual equity weightings and translates that into an index. The index assigns a precise meaning to changes in II risk appetite: the greater the percentage … Continue reading
Posted in EQUITIES, SENTIMENT INDIC, US equities
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TONY BOECKH: INCREASING RISKS
Tony Boeckh is also getting more cautious on risk assets: A double-dip U.S. recession is still not a done deal but forces are all on the side of economic weakness and deflation, and a double-dip recession next year carries a … Continue reading
U.S. Equities: Scaling Back On Risk
BCA Research advises caution. Also see my post of yesterday SEASONALITY OF EQUITY MARKETS: HERE COMES SEPTEMBER Our U.S. equity and bond teams have made an important tactical shift to their respective portfolios. We have been overweight risk assets relative … Continue reading
Posted in EQUITIES, US equities
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SEASONALITY OF EQUITY MARKETS: HERE COMES SEPTEMBER
September is statistically the most dangerous month of the year, followed by October. Equity markets are cheap but there are several reasons to play the odds and play it safe for the next several weeks. First, the seasonality charts. The … Continue reading
Posted in ANALYSIS, EQUITIES, US equities
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NOW WE’LL TELL YOU WHY THIS IS A DEPRESSION
David Rosenberg: Now we’ll tell you why this is a depression, and not just some garden-variety recession. For all the chatter about whether the recession that started in December 2007 ended sometime last year, here is what you should know … Continue reading
Posted in ***RECOVERY WATCH, ANALYSIS, ECONOMY, EQUITIES, US economy, US equities
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Beware of Leveraged Short ETFs
I wrote about that several times in the past. Here is Barron’s warning. (…) Short ETFs — including the most popular, the ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 (ticker: SDS), with about $3.7 billion of assets under management – aren’t meant for … Continue reading
Posted in EQUITIES, INVESTING, US equities
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US EQUITIES DANCE TO THEIR OWN TUNE
Bespoke Investment analyzed the the correlation between the market futures before the open and the action during regular trading hours. It did the same for Asian markets impact on US markets. Ever wonder what the direction of the market at … Continue reading
Posted in EQUITIES, MARKET STATS, US equities
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US EARNINGS SEASON FINAL TALLY
Bespoke Investment sums up the beat rates for all US companies. S&P 500 companies had a much better earnings beat rate at 78%. Large caps and global companies are clearly doing better than smaller caps in the current economic environment. … Continue reading
Posted in ***EARNINGS WATCH, EARNINGS, EQUITIES, US equities
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EQUITIES FAIL ON THE 200-DAY M.A.
Dennis Gartman: Once again the markets have failed rather miserably at their 200 day moving averages. The most important index of all, the S&P, closed last evening at 1076, with its 200 day moving average now at 1116 and with … Continue reading
Posted in EQUITIES, US equities
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The Great American Bond Bubble
The public’s distaste for equities is palpable and understandable after 10 years of negative returns for stocks (from peak to trough!) and soaring bond prices. This is often when true contrarians begin to move. For one, Bill Gross, PIMCO’s savvy … Continue reading
Posted in ANALYSIS, EQUITIES, INTEREST RATES, INVESTING, US equities, bonds
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Q2 EARNINGS BEAT RATE: 78% FOR S&P 500 COMPANIES, 66% OVERALL
Earnings season ends today. From Bespoke Investment: Through last Friday, 2,127 US companies had reported quarterly numbers this earnings season. What started out as a strong earnings season is going out with a whimper. In the first half of earnings … Continue reading
Posted in ***EARNINGS WATCH, EARNINGS, EQUITIES, US equities
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