WINTER FORECAST: BABY, IT’LL BE COLD OUTSIDE

From Dennis Gartman:

When Evelyn Browning Garriss at The Browning Newsletter speaks, we listen. We’ve learned to do so. History has taught us that. “Browning” is one of the better, long term weather forecasting reports we read on a consistent basis, and the latest edition has our attention for Ms. Garriss writes of weather in football game terms noting that this winter we may see a potential pile on. Three enormous weather patterns are surrounding North America. All
three cause cold winter weather. Expect to be flattened.

Ms. Garriss notes that the La Nina in the Pacific Ocean has taken the ocean temperatures there down quite sharply. As she says “Temperatures between 0.5°C – 1.0°C (0.9° – 1.8°F) below normal are considered a “weak”
La Nina. When the chill is more than 1.0°C (1.8°F) below normal, the event is “moderate.” Now temperatures range from 1.4°C (2.5°F) below normal in the central Pacific around Fiji to 2.0°C (3.6°F) off the coast of Peru.”

She notes further that although the temperatures in the central Pacific are holding steady at the current rather
archly low levels, they are continuing to fall in the eastern Pacific off the coast of S. America. She also notes that it is not just cool water temperatures that she finds worrisome. There are other global weather effects in place that serve to make the current La Nina material and worrisome. We will try to detail those effects in the days ahead, but she summarizes her findings with the following rather ominous statement:

“If all of these are combined, then the current La Nina is the strongest in over 70 years. It is almost as intense as the La Nina in the winters of 1955-1956. It is currently almost two standard deviations below normal and most
models expect the phenomenon to intensify over the next three months.”

Baby, it’ll be cold outside!

 

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