Monthly Archives: January 2010

Others Will Follow Greek Debt Tragedy: Niall Ferguson

The world debt overhang is threatening the world recovery, because markets will realize at some point how risky it is and the yields on bonds will increase, Niall Ferguson, professor of history at Harvard University, told CNBC Thursday. cnbcplayershare

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CHINA TO ADDRESS GDP INCONSISTENCIES

China could wave goodbye to its GDP data discord as the national statistics bureau chief claims that he will unify provincial and central GDP calculation methods and improve grassroots statistical quality this year. Ma Jiantang, head of the National Bureau … Continue reading

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THE JANUARY BAROMETER AFTER A DOWN JANUARY

The S&P; 500 Index lost 3.6% in January. Here is the drill: Since 1900, a down January has resulted in a median +0.3% return on the DJII. But when January was a down month, the barometer gave an accurate forecast … Continue reading

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NOTABLE US INSIDERS TRANSACTIONS

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Obama Seeks Boost to Nuclear Energy: The Obama administration is planning to propose tripling a program that provides loan guarantees to construct nuclear reactors, an administration official said, aiming to reach out to Republican lawmakers in an effort to break … Continue reading

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Paulson claims Russia tried to foment Fannie-Freddie crisis

Russia proposed to China that the two nations should sell Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bonds in 2008 to force the US government to bail out the giant mortgage-finance companies, former US Treasury secretary Hank Paulson has claimed. The allegation … Continue reading

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Fed’s Kohn: Banks Need to Prepare for Higher Rates

Pretty clear warning. Read again WHEN THE FED STOPS THE MUSIC (II). The Federal Reserve’s number-two official issued a stern warning to investors, banks and other financial institutions Friday: Don’t be complacent, interest rates are going up at some point … Continue reading

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ANOTHER BULLISH SIGN FOR US EMPLOYMENT

Stéfane Marion and his team at National Financial Group came up with another fascinating unique analysis of economic relationships. To read in conjunction with yesterday’s post BUSINESS INVESTMENT COMING BACK. IS EMPLOYMENT NEXT? Rising employment would do wonders to final … Continue reading

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SHAPE OF THE RECOVERY: “V”…so far

Well, the first round goes to the “V”! Since last spring, economists have been debating on the shape of the recovery. Roubini saw a L, at best, while others said U, V or W. As Bespoke Investment chart shows, it … Continue reading

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HOUSING WATCH: CAROLINAS HOUSING UPDATE

Sales increase 18% y/y. Existing home sales in the Carolinas rose 18% y/y in December, a notable deceleration from November’s 55% y/y increase. As a reminder though, November’s comparisons were amplified by two key factors: 1) tax credit-driven demand ahead … Continue reading

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MORE READINGS

Gillian Tett: Back to Bretton Woods? (FT) Political Headwinds for Helicopter Ben: The Federal Reserve may have done more to jeopardize its independence than any of its critics (WSJ) What the iPad Means for Your Wallet: Apple’s new handheld computer … Continue reading

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U.K. Home Prices Extend Climb to 2 Year High. US Next?

U.K. house prices rose for a ninth straight month in January as demand continues to outstrip supply, lifting the annual measure to its highest level in over two years, data showed Friday. The Nationwide Building Society said house prices rose … Continue reading

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