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Monthly Archives: March 2009
CHINA WATCH: POSITIVE SIGNS
Scotia Capital’s Na Liu: ? People’s Bank of China Governor Zhou Xiaochuan said last week that the world’s third largest economy is recovering. “Overall, the macroeconomic measures have produced preliminary results, and some leading indicators are pointing to recovery of … Continue reading
CONSUMER WATCH: CHAIN STORE SALES REMAIN GOOD
Weekly retail sales picked up 1.1% during the last week of March after declining during the previous 2 weeks: The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index increased 1.1% in the week to March … Continue reading
OBAMA HAS JUST PULLED A “REAGAN”
Could it be that President Obama has just pulled a “Reagan”? On August 5th 1981, President Reagan fired 11,345 air traffic controllers who were illegally on strike. By this extraordinary action, he showed everybody that, with the Nation in peril, … Continue reading
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RECOVERY WATCH: GE sees first ‘glimmers of hope’ in economy
As usual, and as should be expected, the micro-economy will be first to provide signs of macro-economic stabilization and then recovery. Supporting economic data will come 1-2 months after. We will therefore watch for signs which may indicate that the … Continue reading
G20: The IMF Matters
And the decision to fund it appropriately is the most important one in the world next week. by Simon Johnson Global news editors’ eyes glaze over when you pitch them on a story about the International Monetary Fund. Somehow, nothing … Continue reading
A preliminary reaction to the PPIP
By Ricardo J. Caballero We are not out of the woods yet, but the elements of the Legacy Assets programme are encouraging. They combine the strengths of the public institutions involved – the US Treasury, the Federal Reserve and Federal … Continue reading
World Money Supply is on the Rise but More is Needed
Despite increasing their balance sheet in a very significant way in recent months, some central banks have been frustrated by the lack of impact on money supply. Viewed from a global standpoint, however, there has nonetheless been a tangible improvement … Continue reading
In Dante’s Footsteps
Alan is his usual witty self here. The best part, from an economic viewpoint, is at the very end of his column. By ALAN ABELSON Is the latest bank-rescue plan a "way to hell"? Bad-news bulls. IT MAKES US FEEL … Continue reading
Parsing the PPIP
Program could boost banks that are valuing assets correctly, expose those that aren’t. ITS OFFICIAL NAME, as unveiled last week, is the Public-Private Investment Program — the PPIP, or as the plan is now inelegantly known in the White House, … Continue reading
Economy Raises Tentative Hopes a Trough Is Finally in Sight
Just as the U.S. recession is set to become the longest since the Great Depression, some economic signs are encouraging, if tentative. April will mark the 17th month of the recession that began in December 2007, making it the lengthiest … Continue reading
Eurozone manufacturing orders plunge
The eurozone recession appears to have deepened in the first quarter of the year following a collapse in manufacturing orders in January. At the same time, inflation in the 16-member currency bloc is proving weaker than expected. The latest gloomy … Continue reading
U.S. consumers’ mood improves slightly in March
U.S. consumer confidence rose in March, nudged higher by improved confidence in government economic policy, though overall sentiment was gloomy and remained near an all-time low, a survey showed on Friday. The Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers said its … Continue reading
